HAROON
HABIB
The ruling Awami League wins
an election marred by boycott and violence. But the only solution to a looming
political crisis is another round of elections with full political participation
sooner rather than later.
AMID
unprecedented violence, Bangladesh
finally held its much-debated 10th parliamentary elections on January 5,
allowing the ruling Awami League, led by Sheikh Hasina, to form the new
government. However, the major opposition, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party
(BNP), which boycotted the elections and tried to resist the electoral process,
continues to question the legitimacy of the mandate.
The
Bangladesh Election Commission has declared the Awami League winner in 139 out
of the 147 seats to which elections were held. Having won 127 seats
uncontested, the ruling party has 231 of the 300 seats, a clear three-fourths
majority in parliament. The Jatiya Party, which won 33 seats, is likely to be
the main opposition. The Workers’ Party won six seats, the Jatiyo Samajtantrik
Dal (JSD) five and the Tarikat Federation one. The 13 independent candidates
who won are mostly rebels from the ruling party who defeated its official
candidates.
In
one of the most violent elections Bangladesh has ever had, opposition
activists torched hundreds of polling centres, destroyed ballot papers and
boxes, killed or injured polling officials and attacked voters. Polling was
cancelled at 540 centres out of 18,000, that is 3 per cent of the centres.
In
her post-election press conference, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina asked Khaleda
Zia, the leader of the rightist-Islamist opposition alliance, to give up
terrorism in the name of democratic movement and discard the Jamaat-e-Islami,
which had violently opposed the country’s independence from Pakistan. She said
she was ready to go in for a mid-term election that would be fully
participatory if the opposition agreed to this.
Chief
Election Commissioner Kazi Rakibuddin Ahmad said the holding of the election
against all odds was in itself a big achievement. According to Election
Commission figures, around 41.5 million people, or 40 per cent of the
electorate, cast their votes. Violence, however, had its impact on the turnout.
With their victory assured, even Awami League supporters, except die-hard ones,
stayed away from the polling booths.
The
turnout was low in the northern and western strongholds of the BNP and the
Jamaat, but in many areas, including the Greater Chittagong, Dhaka and Barisal regions, it was
remarkably high, according to the Election Commission.
Political
legitimacy
In the highly controversial elections of February 15, 1996, under the Khaleda
Zia government, which Awami League, in the opposition then, boycotted, the
turnout was only about 20 per cent. However, the question of the legality of
that parliament never arose. It was this parliament that passed the 13th
Constitution amendment Bill incorporating the “non-party caretaker system”. The
BNP demanded that the 2013 parliamentary elections be held under a non-party
caretaker government, a system the outgoing parliament reversed. Though the new
parliament may be controversial in the eyes of the parties that did not join
the election or failed to stop it, observers say in no way can it be termed
“illegitimate”. However, its political legitimacy may be questioned because it
was not fully participatory.
While
the Awami League expressed satisfaction with the election, the BNP and the
Jamaat called it “a farce”. However, a South Asian group of electoral
management bodies observed that the turnout was “good” in some polling booths
while in some others it was “not so high”. Some local observers said the voter
turnout was “very low” as many candidates had not tried to encourage voters to
exercise their franchise and because of massive violence.
Constitutional
requirement
In
Bangladesh,
holding of the election before January 24 this year had become a constitutional
necessity. But the opposition not only boycotted it but also resorted to
extreme violence to resist the democratic exercise. As many as 100 people died
in election-related violence across the country while more than 500 people died
in violent protests organised by the BNP and the Jamaat in 2013 in a bid to
dislodge the government.
Bangladesh has seen many violent
political upheavals in the past 34 years. But the violence unleashed by the BNP
and the Jamaat this time has been the worst. In the most anarchist manner, 531
educational institutions, where polling centres were housed, were either burnt
or damaged. These include primary schools, high schools, colleges and
madrassas.
The
elections also served as a grim reminder to the religious minority of the
brutal treatment its members received 43 years ago from marauding Pakistani
forces and their local cohorts. Homes and property of Hindus were attacked on
the assumption that they had voted for the ruling party or ignored the
directive to boycott the elections. Hundreds of houses were burnt or damaged,
and a large number of Hindus fled their homes. The attacks were carried out
systematically by the activists of the BNP and the Jamaat.
The
Jamaat, as also the BNP, was opposed to the landmark war crimes trials
conducted to bring to justice the perpetrators of mass murder and rape in the
1971 war of liberation. The judicial process, which a sovereign state cannot
relinquish, also alarmed Pakistan,
whose National Assembly recently endorsed a resolution condemning the execution
of Jamaat leader Quader Mollah, who had been convicted by Bangladesh’s
apex court for war crimes in 1971.
The
political crisis deepened when the BNP’s demand for a caretaker government to
oversee the election was integrated with the Jamaat’s demand to relinquish the
war crimes trials. When Khaleda Zia virtually took the leadership of both BNP
and the Jamaat, it took the nation by surprise as to why the former Prime
Minister had to risk whatever liberal image her party had. Her willing
leadership of the entire “anti-liberation forces”, or the “neo-Pakistanis” as
they are called, has alarmed a large segment of the population, among them even
critics of the Awami League.
The
January 5 election was thus seen also as an exercise to check the possible
rebirth of religious terrorism and as a deterrent to the growth of
“neo-Pakistani extremists” on Bangladeshi soil. The Islamists, through violent
means, were apparently trying to capitalise on the election to make a comeback.
Violent
turn
There was no guarantee that the Khaleda Zia-led alliance would have joined the
election even if it was rescheduled. The ruling party tried to negotiate with
the opposition to find common ground which was acceptable to all parties.
Sheikh Hasina herself invited Khaleda Zia for discussion, but the latter
refused.
The
international community led by the United States also tried in vain to
mediate between the two leaders to bring them to the negotiating table.
Diplomatic efforts were also on by U.N. Assistant Secretary-General for
Political Affairs Oscar Fernandez-Taranco.
The
BNP-Jamaat alliance not only refused to participate in the election without a
“non-party caretaker government” but vowed to foil it by any means. It declared
a countrywide hartal and blockade, which continued for months. The Jamaat and
its militant students’ wing, Islami Chaatra Shibir, resorted to wanton
destruction and killing.
The
Jamaat-Shibir cadre, reportedly in collaboration with the outlawed Hizb
ut-Tahrir and other radical groups, struck terror all over. They targeted
buses, trucks, cars, rickshaws, autorickshaws and cargo vehicles using crude
bombs, gunpowder, gasoline, petroleum, stones, bricks, batons and other
weapons. All modes of public transport, government offices, businesses and
industries were attacked indiscriminately. The armed cadre also cut more than
25,000 large trees, set fire to over 10,000 vehicles, and attacked dozens of
minority religious institutions. The violence affected the nation’s economy.
Bangladesh has long been divided into
two radically opposite political and ideological camps, “pro-liberation” and
“anti-liberation” or “neo-Pakistanis”. Though out of power for more than seven
years, the BNP and the Jamaat in the meanwhile had won many local elections,
including major city corporations, and a few parliamentary byelections.
But
Khaleda Zia was hell-bent on reviving the non-party caretaker system to hold
the election and on forcing the government to amend the Constitution. The
outgoing Parliament had revoked the system following a landmark verdict of the
Bangladesh Supreme Court which declared the non-party caretaker system
undemocratic and unconstitutional. Having scrapped the caretaker provision
through a constitutional amendment, it was impossible for Sheikh Hasina to
bring back something that would demoralise her party before a crucial election.
In
the midst of the political stand-off, Sheikh Hasina offered an olive branch to
the opposition to encourage her opponents to join the election—she offered them
Cabinet berths in an “all party government” that would supervise the election.
The opposition rejected the offer. Therefore, the government says, it had no
other alternative but to go in for the election.
International
reaction
The U.S.-backed international community sided with the anti-election grouping,
lending vital support to the Jamaat and the BNP. The E.U. and the U.S. have
repeatedly requested everyone to not resort to violence, but without any
specifics.
Terming
the continuing violence surrounding the elections “unacceptable”, U.N.
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon asked the political parties to resume “meaningful
dialogue” for an inclusive political process. Instead of toeing the U.S. line in
debunking the elections as “not at all credible”, the U.N. chose to lambast the
unprecedented violence that left at least 22 people dead on the day of polling.
Ban Ki-moon also called upon all parties to exercise restraint and ensure an
environment conducive to protecting the people’s right of assembly and
expression.
Since
1996, when Khaleda Zia was forced to step down barely a few months after a
“farcical” election earlier that year, caretaker governments have conducted
elections in Bangladesh.
(Two general elections were held in Bangladesh in 1996, the first on
February 15, which the BNP won following an Awami League boycott. After that
parliament was dissolved, another election was held on June 12, in which the
Awami League won.)
The
U.S.
found nothing wrong with the 1996 February elections and, in fact, sent 48
observers to monitor it. But it found this round of elections “not credible
enough” to send observers to monitor them. The E.U. and the Commonwealth too
did not send observers.
India, which shares a long
border with Bangladesh,
differed with the U.S. on
the understanding of Bangladesh’s
problems. It said that the elections were a “constitutional requirement” which
shall be left to the people of Bangladesh
and that the democratic processes “must be allowed to take their own course”.
The
United Kingdom, France and Germany, too, asked the new
government and all political parties to engage in a dialogue to find a path
forward to holding fresh national elections. They urged the political
leadership to do everything to halt the violence and intimidation, especially
against the minorities.
Over
the years, the Jamaat-e-Islami has organised itself as a cadre force that is
inimical to the interests of the Bangladesh state, in line with its
philosophy of 1971. It cannot contest elections as it has been deregistered and
most of its key leaders are either convicted or being tried in the war crimes
tribunals.
The
Islamist party has no future unless it ousts the Awami League from power by all
means and gets the war crimes trials foiled. The BNP, which emerged from the
cantonment, has become fully dependent on the Jamaat, whose support base will
come to roughly 4 per cent of the national votes.
There
is no indication that the coalition of the BNP and the Jamaat will cease its
violent campaign. With powerful supporters such as the U.S. and also Pakistan, it will continue its
violence against what it calls an “illegal” government.
Bangladesh will surely get a
legitimate parliament and a legal government, but it will possibly have no
respite from violence and political turmoil. The only way to avoid instability
is a meaningful dialogue among the stakeholders for an inclusive election
sooner rather than later.
First
appeared in the Frontline magazine, Print Edition: February
7, 2014
Haroon
Habib, a liberation war veteran is correspondent for The Hindu newspaper. He is General Secretary of Bangladesh Sector Commander's Forum